nparty
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A Queensland state election predictor using the 2022 Senate results as a basis
The same non-uniform swing model, updated for 2024 with Senate data from 2022 rather than 2016. -
QLD state predictor from Senate 4PP - how'd it do?
Any predictor is not much good unless it's been tested. -
A Queensland state election predictor using the 2016 Senate results as a basis
Following on from previous work projecting the 2016 Senate results onto the new Queensland state seats, I thought I might try a non-uniform swing model. -
Queensland state projections from Federal Senate voting data
With the resurgence of One Nation, there's some need to model how they'd perform running all over Queensland in a state election.