Psephology
-
A Queensland state election predictor using the 2022 Senate results as a basis
The same non-uniform swing model, updated for 2024 with Senate data from 2022 rather than 2016. -
Modelling SA1-booth correspondences
Elections have geographic aspects: people live somewhere and often your neighbours are similar to you socio-economically. Further, both boundaries and polling places can differ across the three levels of government, and they change over time.
-
Three-Party-Preferred Graph Generator
As 3PP contests become more relevant, a need arises for analysis tools.
-
Redistributions
I have authored two submissions to federal Redistribution Committees.
-
QLD state predictor from Senate 4PP - how'd it do?
Any predictor is not much good unless it's been tested. -
A Queensland state election predictor using the 2016 Senate results as a basis
Following on from previous work projecting the 2016 Senate results onto the new Queensland state seats, I thought I might try a non-uniform swing model. -
Queensland state projections from Federal Senate voting data
With the resurgence of One Nation, there's some need to model how they'd perform running all over Queensland in a state election. -
MMP-OPV
When designing an parliamentary electoral system, there are two main considerations. First, how are people represented at the local level? Second, how are the people represented as a whole?